Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.180861 0.215765 0.254996 0.302269 0.357595 0.420203 0.496326
2025-03-30 0.131076 0.176172 0.232564 0.307881 0.405413 0.526975 0.689442
2025-04-06 0.100223 0.147514 0.211612 0.304053 0.433008 0.605416 0.852036
2025-04-13 0.079975 0.127062 0.195329 0.300238 0.455782 0.675906 1.008447
2025-04-20 0.068781 0.116741 0.190415 0.309930 0.496490 0.773385 1.211123
2025-04-27 0.063750 0.114616 0.196775 0.336410 0.564176 0.916173 1.494363
2025-05-04 0.057047 0.108330 0.195185 0.349404 0.611488 1.031984 1.747521
2025-05-11 0.048721 0.097630 0.184393 0.345141 0.629360 1.102073 1.934072
2025-05-18 0.040636 0.085844 0.169760 0.331792 0.629459 1.141941 2.073511
2025-05-25 0.033650 0.074856 0.154796 0.315453 0.621665 1.166589 2.188063
2025-06-01 0.030410 0.070802 0.152256 0.321775 0.655376 1.266245 2.442030
2025-06-08 0.025894 0.063231 0.141626 0.310799 0.654879 1.303700 2.586787
2025-06-15 0.023516 0.060135 0.140073 0.318670 0.693526 1.420343 2.894935
2025-06-22 0.021154 0.056672 0.137292 0.323767 0.727585 1.532429 3.207042
2025-06-29 0.018454 0.051847 0.130722 0.319686 0.742002 1.607333 3.453831
2025-07-06 0.016152 0.047544 0.124622 0.315683 0.755871 1.682113 3.706921
2025-07-13 0.014977 0.045959 0.124695 0.325838 0.801835 1.827050 4.116067
2025-07-20 0.014833 0.047166 0.131787 0.353576 0.890467 2.069800 4.750127
2025-07-27 0.013957 0.046128 0.133037 0.367185 0.947924 2.250642 5.267947
2025-08-03 0.012366 0.042656 0.127396 0.362720 0.962102 2.337788 5.590358
2025-08-10 0.010605 0.038270 0.118570 0.348739 0.951457 2.368078 5.789541
2025-08-17 0.008978 0.033927 0.109106 0.331623 0.930801 2.373121 5.931734
2025-08-24 0.008329 0.032687 0.108358 0.338246 0.971414 2.525171 6.425020